World Perspectives

Market Commentary: New Lows for Wheat, New Highs for Cattle; Soybeans Eye Trade Talks

President Trump walked back some of his statements regarding China over the weekend, which allowed ag markets to breathe more easily this week. Soybeans and soyoil managed to post small gains to start the week after Friday’s trade-war-news-induced collapse, with traders turning hopeful th...

Today’s Top insights
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1075/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.9675/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0775/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $274.1/short ton, down $0...

livestock

Cattle Market Relief on the Way, But to What End? And, Higher Tariffs on China

USDA is expected to announce details in the next few weeks on its plan to encourage cattle herd expansion after Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins recently pledged to “expand access to working lands” and “develop risk mitigation tools.” These options will be relied on...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Although nearly 97 percent of Argentina’s wheat crop is rated from normal to excellent, excessive rainfall in some areas is becoming a concern. Certain fields have been inaccessible for months, preventing necessary fieldwork. Fungal diseases are spreading, but farmers are still inve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1075/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.9675/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0775/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $274.1/short ton, down $0...

livestock

Cattle Market Relief on the Way, But to What End? And, Higher Tariffs on China

USDA is expected to announce details in the next few weeks on its plan to encourage cattle herd expansion after Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins recently pledged to “expand access to working lands” and “develop risk mitigation tools.” These options will be relied on...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Although nearly 97 percent of Argentina’s wheat crop is rated from normal to excellent, excessive rainfall in some areas is becoming a concern. Certain fields have been inaccessible for months, preventing necessary fieldwork. Fungal diseases are spreading, but farmers are still inve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia continues to dominate global agricultural export policy headlines after Moscow introduced a floating “damper” mechanism for export duties. The “damper” lowered the export tax on wheat shipments by about 20 percent for 8-14 October and pushed co...

Various Campaigns Diagnosed; EU Dependency

Various Campaigns Diagnosed  Climate Change: Since the Paris Accord in 2015, environmentalists have poured hundreds of millions of dollars publicizing the dangers of climate change. They’ve had the buy-in from elites and a cooperative media ecosystem giving attention to the “cr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia continues to dominate global agricultural export policy headlines after Moscow introduced a floating “damper” mechanism for export duties. The “damper” lowered the export tax on wheat shipments by about 20 percent for 8-14 October and pushed co...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Lots of Uncertainties Except Certain Problems with China

There was no reversal of yesterday’s decline in commodity markets. The trend is your friend, and that beat out thoughts of a technical reversal. The market was down at the open and then came even more bearish outside influences.  Commodity and financial market prices plunged as the t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.13/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $4.985/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0675/bushel, down $0.155 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $275/short ton, down $1.9 f...

Reconciliation Bill Increases Crop Payments

The reconciliation bill signed into law on 4 July, aka the One Big Beautiful Bill, increased statutory reference prices under the Agricultural Risk Payments (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs and made some changes to the effective reference prices (ERP) which are used to calculate pay...

soy-oilseeds

What Spreads and Basis Are Saying About Soybean Exports

The government shutdown has entered its tenth day, leaving the grain markets without two weeks of export data. Fortunately, the USDA AMS and FGIS continue to publish the weekly Export Inspections report, leaving the grain industry not totally blind to exports. Even so, that report covers only a...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk markets are waiting to see how rates will react now that China’s Golden Week and South Korea’s holidays are both over. The Golden Week celebrations ended on Wednesday and, so far, dry bulk rates have not seen much upward movement. Panamax and Capesize vessels are slightly f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Chop and Drop

Markets continue to chop around looking for some determinant of direction. In the absence of official reports, yesterday’s firmer PNW soybean basis levels provided a brief uplift but that faltered today. China gets mentioned as a possible source of the phantom demand but that seems politi...

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