World Perspectives

Ag Trade Deficit Spurs Interest in Trade Promotion Authority

U.S. ag exports hit a record $196 billion in FY 2022. For FY 2023, however, the latest forecast from USDA in February puts exports at $184.5, down $5.5 billion from the November forecast. Moreover, ag trade is expected to be a deficit of $14.5 billion in FY 2023. Imports are forecast at $199 billion, unchanged from the November forecast.  At a Senate Agriculture Committee hearing last Thursday, Ranking Minority Member John Boozman (R-Arkansas) noted those forecasts, saying, The headwinds for our producers are great. For only the third time in 55 years we’re expected to have a trade deficit in agriculture and no new trade deals have been signed or are under negotiation. Two of those years were 2019 during the U.S. China trade...

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Market Commentary: Calm, Confident, But Correct?

The trading before a major WSDE report always entails differing vibes. It is more volatile when there is wide variance in expectations, and more subdued when the mood is more sublime. This might count as the latter except where it wasn’t.   The volume trading corn, wheat and soy...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.215/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.335/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.7/short ton, up $1.9 from...

Livestock Roundup: Inflation Is Up

The CPI released this morning showed that August prices increased 0.4 percent and 2.9 percent over the last 12 months. For food at home, the index rose to 0.6 percent in August and for 0.3 percent for food away from home. The August data compares to a drop of -0.1 percent in July and 2.7 percen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Calm, Confident, But Correct?

The trading before a major WSDE report always entails differing vibes. It is more volatile when there is wide variance in expectations, and more subdued when the mood is more sublime. This might count as the latter except where it wasn’t.   The volume trading corn, wheat and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.215/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.335/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.7/short ton, up $1.9 from...

Livestock Roundup: Inflation Is Up

The CPI released this morning showed that August prices increased 0.4 percent and 2.9 percent over the last 12 months. For food at home, the index rose to 0.6 percent in August and for 0.3 percent for food away from home. The August data compares to a drop of -0.1 percent in July and 2.7 percen...

livestock

China’s Beef Outlook Amid a Shrinking Middle Class

Recently, the USDA FAS lowered its forecast for China’s 2025 beef consumption based on higher prices and the Middle Kingdom’s slowing economy. The USDA forecast consumption at 11.17 MMT, down 3 percent from 2024 and the first annual decline since 2017.  The motivation behind th...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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