U.S. ag exports hit a record $196 billion in FY 2022. For FY 2023, however, the latest forecast from USDA in February puts exports at $184.5, down $5.5 billion from the November forecast. Moreover, ag trade is expected to be a deficit of $14.5 billion in FY 2023. Imports are forecast at $199 billion, unchanged from the November forecast.  At a Senate Agriculture Committee hearing last Thursday, Ranking Minority Member John Boozman (R-Arkansas) noted those forecasts, saying, The headwinds for our producers are great. For only the third time in 55 years we’re expected to have a trade deficit in agriculture and no new trade deals have been signed or are under negotiation.

Two of those years were 2019 during the U.S. China trade...