As has been noted, USDA will release its 2018 planting intentions estimates on 30 March at noon (EDT), which will be the first ones for the year that are based on actual producer surveys. Those surveys, usually compiled from over 80,000 farmer responses, were completed during the first two weeks of March. USDA then uses them in conjunction with other historical data to produce the actual report estimates. The table below compares actual 2017 planted acreage with the USDA Outlook Forum numbers released in February and the trade guesses for this week’s report.

The markets will first look at the corn number. The guess range is 87.5-91 million acres, and 88.5 million acres were used in last week’s analysis of the 2018/19 U.S. cor...