GOOD MORNING, It's month's end, end of a quarter, with a March 31 Planting Intentions and Quarterly stocks report on the way at 11:00 Chicago time. No doubt that we will all be a bit smarter after 11:00, as we see how the farmers responded to their survey of acreage intentions. Expectations are more or less for bullish wheat numbers, bearish corn numbers, and neutral to bearish beans. Spring acres could be smaller than expected, while durum should be larger. The average advertised trade estimate for March 1 corn and bean stocks are 8.125 bln and 2.241 bln bu, respectively. March 1 wheat stocks are estimated at 1.432 bln bu, which would be down 10% from year ago, and the smallest for the date in four ye...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
Key Takeaways: Texas illustrates the assumptions underlying the 2025 FMMO reform; Idaho exposes their limitations. The Southwest order blend (roughly 27 percent Class I, 32 percent Class III and 31 percent Class IV) exposes Texas producers to every lever USDA adjusted, with a near-neutral proj...