World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Firm into the Report

GOOD MORNING, The Feb. WASDE will be released at 11:00 central time.  Typically, it is not a trend changer, but given implied tighter carry-out numbers, this report could impact the market.  Major themes include possible lower ending stocks, possible lower world South American crop numbers, and higher export numbers.   Traders will also be keeping an eye on China's domestic corn supply numbers to see if the USDA is too high.  If these all come to fruition, it will justify long positions held by funds that include an estimated 395K corn, 185K beans, 120K soyoil, 75K meal, and 20K wheat.   As it stands, stocks for corn and beans are at their lowest point since 2014, with world-wide demand strong.  Glo...

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livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for March will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.5 million head. The pre-report estimates were spl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Please see the attached summary sheet - page one: ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Pressure and Energy Strength Lift Grain Markets

Key Market Developments Macro: Reinforcing a Higher-for-Longer Environment Today’s inflation data reinforced what markets were already beginning to price in: a more persistent, “higher for longer” rate environment. U.S. producer prices came in above expectations, with headline...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for March will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.5 million head. The pre-report estimates were spl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Please see the attached summary sheet - page one: ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Pressure and Energy Strength Lift Grain Markets

Key Market Developments Macro: Reinforcing a Higher-for-Longer Environment Today’s inflation data reinforced what markets were already beginning to price in: a more persistent, “higher for longer” rate environment. U.S. producer prices came in above expectations, with headline...

Great Timing; Farm Skeptics; War’s Impact; Thursday’s Tumults

Great Timing The workers’ union at the JBS meatpacking plant in Greeley, Colorado, is on strike. The union is demanding more pay for its members, of course, and they want the company to pay for gloves. Given the shortage of cattle, there is overcapacity in cattle slaughter, and JBS has be...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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