World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Removing Shorts

GOOD MORNING, Seasonal lows are sometimes set after the September or October reports, and it's always about fund flows and market reaction to the data.  The Sep report was neutral to bearish for corn, but funds decided it was time to cover part of their short position when prices returned to contract lows setting the stage for an outside day of trade closing higher.   However, the up-move started with beans yesterday as rumors floated on the trading floor that China had purchased beans off the PNW.  Reuters later confirmed 600 tmt of beans were transacted for Oct/Nov delivery, with basis strengthening from +17 Nov to +33 Nov.   This morning, China's state media, citing unidentified sources, said the gov. will...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for May 2-8, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 58,600 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 16 percent from the previous week, but up noticeably from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 371,400 MT were down 25 percent from the previous week and 24 percent from the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corrections from Oversold/Overbought, Big Crops, Facts and Rumors

There was again a lot to unpack in today’s trade action, and not all of it was pretty. Big Crops: There is no getting around the fact that favorable weather for the most part is leading to big crops. Conab raised its soybean estimate to 169 MMT, now just 1 MMT below USDA. The Wheat Qualit...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Shortage Still Affecting Prices

Cattle supply still matters. USDA has announced the suspension of live cattle, horse, and bison imports from Mexico due to recent detections of New World Screwworm (NWS) in southern Mexico. Economic fundamentals, such as tight cattle supplies, still play a role in supporting prices in the outly...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for May 2-8, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 58,600 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 16 percent from the previous week, but up noticeably from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 371,400 MT were down 25 percent from the previous week and 24 percent from the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corrections from Oversold/Overbought, Big Crops, Facts and Rumors

There was again a lot to unpack in today’s trade action, and not all of it was pretty. Big Crops: There is no getting around the fact that favorable weather for the most part is leading to big crops. Conab raised its soybean estimate to 169 MMT, now just 1 MMT below USDA. The Wheat Qualit...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Shortage Still Affecting Prices

Cattle supply still matters. USDA has announced the suspension of live cattle, horse, and bison imports from Mexico due to recent detections of New World Screwworm (NWS) in southern Mexico. Economic fundamentals, such as tight cattle supplies, still play a role in supporting prices in the outly...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: RVO Rumors Sink Soyoil; Sesame Demand Slows

The Market  There were four big “stories” for oilseeds markets to follow this past week: the U.S.-China trade negotiations, the May WASDE report, news that the U.S. Congress may be planning to extend the 45Z tax credits, and Thursday’s rumors that the EPA may be undercutt...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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