World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Soy Higher; Grains Drop

GOOD MORNING, Grains continue to weaken vs. the soy complex as the soyoil market remains higher on technical and fundamental merit.   Traders continue to buy soyoil on tighter supplies, higher crude and canola, while selling meal.  Argentina sells meal as they are under US prices, while stories about expanding ASF are troublesome.   Inverses remain firm with US domestic cash values remaining strong.  Trading ranges continue sideways as we await the Feb 9 WASDE report, and end of month March 1 stocks and Planting Intentions.   The US is exporting a lot of corn despite competition from Argentina, but export sales today were light, which sent prices to a low end close. With net selling of an estimated...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corrections from Oversold/Overbought, Big Crops, Facts and Rumors

There was again a lot to unpack in today’s trade action, and not all of it was pretty. Big Crops: There is no getting around the fact that favorable weather for the most part is leading to big crops. Conab raised its soybean estimate to 169 MMT, now just 1 MMT below USDA. The Wheat Qualit...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Shortage Still Affecting Prices

Cattle supply still matters. USDA has announced the suspension of live cattle, horse, and bison imports from Mexico due to recent detections of New World Screwworm (NWS) in southern Mexico. Economic fundamentals, such as tight cattle supplies, still play a role in supporting prices in the outly...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: RVO Rumors Sink Soyoil; Sesame Demand Slows

The Market  There were four big “stories” for oilseeds markets to follow this past week: the U.S.-China trade negotiations, the May WASDE report, news that the U.S. Congress may be planning to extend the 45Z tax credits, and Thursday’s rumors that the EPA may be undercutt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corrections from Oversold/Overbought, Big Crops, Facts and Rumors

There was again a lot to unpack in today’s trade action, and not all of it was pretty. Big Crops: There is no getting around the fact that favorable weather for the most part is leading to big crops. Conab raised its soybean estimate to 169 MMT, now just 1 MMT below USDA. The Wheat Qualit...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Shortage Still Affecting Prices

Cattle supply still matters. USDA has announced the suspension of live cattle, horse, and bison imports from Mexico due to recent detections of New World Screwworm (NWS) in southern Mexico. Economic fundamentals, such as tight cattle supplies, still play a role in supporting prices in the outly...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: RVO Rumors Sink Soyoil; Sesame Demand Slows

The Market  There were four big “stories” for oilseeds markets to follow this past week: the U.S.-China trade negotiations, the May WASDE report, news that the U.S. Congress may be planning to extend the 45Z tax credits, and Thursday’s rumors that the EPA may be undercutt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.455/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.2475/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.7775/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $291.9/short ton, down $1.4 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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