GOOD MORNING, Quiet markets are subject to quick bounces and breaks. Yesterday, what was a quiet atmosphere suddenly turned higher as trade war news headlines splashed again, this time not from the US, but from China. The South China Morning Post reported that China is expected to buy more US agricultural goods in hopes of delaying a series of tariffs that will take effect in October and December, as well as ease the supply ban against Chinese telecom giant Huawei Technologies. The fact that China made the statement they will purchase more US beans, betting that it’s a good faith statement to open doors on meat exports as well, got the attention of the algo traders who were quick to buy something. Today, China announced it wil...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: After a period of limited activity, USDA reported a sizeable 613 KMT in soybean export sales, including 330 KMT to China and 283 KMT to unknown destinations, potentially also China. The purchases represent a meaningful pickup in demand and bring China closer to ful...
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...