World Perspectives
feed-grains biofuel

April Ethanol Corn Crush; June Estimated Forecast

In a sign of the times, corn crushed for ethanol in April, during the peak of the COVID-19 lockdown, was down more than 44 percent from April 2019, while corn crushed for alcoholic beverages was up 12 percent from April 2019 according to USDA’s Grain Crushing and Co-Production report released yesterday.     Based on the April numbers, WPI estimates that June corn use for ethanol could rebound to 310 million bushels for dry mill ethanol production and 45 million bushels for wet mill production, which would equate to about 1.46 MMT of DDGS production. That DDGS production would be about 80 percent of last April. Dry mill production of DDGS was 1.01 MMT during April 2020, down 62 percent of March 2020 and down 55 perce...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

The CBOT turned sharply higher at mid-week with corn, the soy complex, wheat, and livestock futures all posting strong gains for the day. The reasoning for each market’s rally was unique, but there were commonalities between all. For grains, the biggest common factor was short covering an...

Vietnam Deal; EU Green Targets

Vietnam Deal As the 9 July deadline approaches, a second trade deal was announced by President Trump. He says the U.S. will apply a 20 percent tariff on imports from Vietnam (versus 46 percent reciprocal), and 40 percent if the product was transshipped. The duty could vary based on domestic con...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.64/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.48/bushel, up $0.2075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $290.8/short ton, up $3.2 from yester...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Bulls Emerge from Hibernation

The CBOT turned sharply higher at mid-week with corn, the soy complex, wheat, and livestock futures all posting strong gains for the day. The reasoning for each market’s rally was unique, but there were commonalities between all. For grains, the biggest common factor was short covering an...

Vietnam Deal; EU Green Targets

Vietnam Deal As the 9 July deadline approaches, a second trade deal was announced by President Trump. He says the U.S. will apply a 20 percent tariff on imports from Vietnam (versus 46 percent reciprocal), and 40 percent if the product was transshipped. The duty could vary based on domestic con...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, up $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.64/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.48/bushel, up $0.2075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $290.8/short ton, up $3.2 from yester...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 2 July)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App  **** Note: After our recent website update, we're having difficulty correctly linking the app to this page. Until we get this fixed, please visit the app directly via the link below. ***  https://worldperspectives.shinyapps.io/Combined_FOB_Price_...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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