World Perspectives

Arbitraging Energy

Those in conventional energy markets believe that if not for its adverse politics, there are plenty of philosophers in Washington who would raise the prices paid by Americans for fossil fuels. After all, these creations of Mother Nature are dirty and, importantly, their low cost undermines the successful introduction of so-called "green" manmade energy sources. But, a cheap energy policy remains in place in the U.S., as the chart below illustrates. This has not only encouraged Americans to continue buying sport utility vehicles, but it also affects the composition of agricultural exports.One interesting impact is how food is being used to arbitrage differing energy policies. As noted in the chart below, U.S. exports of dried egg, dried eg...

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Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.3875/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.6/short ton, down...

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livestock

WASDE Livestock

USDA’s World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report was released yesterday, the first of the year. Beef production is still down compared to 2024, but projections were raised for 2026. Beef production was raised as heavier slaughter weights more than offset the reduction i...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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