World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Are Commodity Prices Ignoring Global Stocks?

WPI recently received a question from a client asking, in effect, if global crop prices have become immune – or at least less sensitive – to changes in global crop ending stocks. The reasoning offered was the perception that corn futures are becoming less responsive to declining global corn ending stocks/use (ESU) ratios, or global stocks excluding China. Evidence of this supposed phenomenon was a chart showing global corn stocks excluding China on one y-axis and CBOT corn futures on the other y-axis. The chart, which we were unable to republish but created a similar graph below, appeared to show that CBOT futures once held a strong, negative correlation to world ex-China ESU ratios, but that correlation was dissipating over the...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 8-14, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 519,800 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were down 28 percent from the previous week and 25 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 360,600 MT were up 6 percent from the previous week, but down 30 percent from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1175/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.56/bushel, up $0.2 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $294.2/short ton, down $3 from ye...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 98.1 percent of last year with the range of estimates between 97.4 and 98.6 percent of 1 August 2024. Those estimates imply an on-feed i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for August 8-14, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 519,800 metric tons (MT) for 2025/2026 were down 28 percent from the previous week and 25 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 360,600 MT were up 6 percent from the previous week, but down 30 percent from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1175/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.56/bushel, up $0.2 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $294.2/short ton, down $3 from ye...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 98.1 percent of last year with the range of estimates between 97.4 and 98.6 percent of 1 August 2024. Those estimates imply an on-feed i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.04/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2825/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.36/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $297.2/short ton, up $1.3 from ye...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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