Key Takeaways:
Argentina is a major global agricultural exporter, but producer returns have historically been constrained by export taxes. Export taxes have been a long-standing policy tool since 1955, reintroduced in 2002 after Argentina’s financial crisis, and have since remained a key source of government revenue while distorting agricultural prices for producers. Javier Milei’s 2023 election marked a sharp policy shift toward fiscal austerity and market liberalization, with early reforms producing a fiscal surplus in 2025 but at the cost of significant short-term economic contraction and currency devaluation. Following the fiscal turnaround, the government announced a phased reduction in export taxes in May 2026, with gradu...
What You Need to Know Today: Corn, wheat, and the soy complex all formed new contract or at least rally highs to close what has become one of the most uniformly bullish weeks in CBOT history. Escalations in the fighting between Russia and Ukraine and attacks on civilian merchant vessels show n...
Macro: Trade Flows Set the Tone Persian Gulf crude flows appear to be improving, with anecdotal estimates suggesting as much as 7–8 million barrels per day may now be leaving the region — nearly double the mid-July pace. That helps explain why crude has not maintained the full geopo...
