Key Takeaways: 

U.S. beef production is forecast to fall 10.5 percent in 2026 and remain unchanged in 2027, despite a mild recovery in fed cattle slaughter. Record beef imports will help offset shrinking domestic production, with imports forecast to increase 14.0 percent in 2026 and another 3.8 percent in 2027. Meanwhile, U.S. beef exports are expected to decline for a fourth consecutive year. Fed cattle prices have additional upside potential in 2027, with WPI forecasting 5-area fed steer prices to reach $267/cwt in the second half of the year, 16 percent above year-ago levels. Feeder cattle prices appear to have peaked, with poor feedlot margins constraining price increases. WPI now forecasts relatively stable values in 2027 followi...