World Perspectives

Black Sea Grain Initiative: One and Done?

The uncertainty that Russia’s invasion has brought to agricultural markets continues.  Roughly 32.9 million MT of grain has been exported from Ukraine since the Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI) began in July 2022. Russia refused to extend it Monday, siting the continued sanctions which target Russian leadership and financial institutions, which extended to its exclusion from the SWIFT international payment system. Russia's withdrawal from the BSGI, which includes canceling its guarantees for safe navigation, also ended a agreement between the United Nations and Moscow in which U.N. officials agreed to help Russian food and fertilizer exports reach world markets. China is a notable exception to the U.S. led effort to impose sanc...

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Market Commentary: Looking for Demand Amidst Ample Supplies

Grain and oilseed trading was mostly in the red today, with livestock markets trading higher. Volume was higher today in soymeal, but otherwise it was modest and even relatively low in corn. Markets tend to drift when lacking any major new directional inputs.  USDA’s weekly Export Sa...

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How the EPA’s Anti-Decision Will Affect Biofuels and Soyoil

In mythology or legends, the hero is obviously identified – the “good guy” standing up for justice, not compromising what is right, and displays courage or other noble and admired qualities. Standing in contrast – but not quite opposite – to the hero is the anti-he...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2375/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2425/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.375/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $284.7/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Looking for Demand Amidst Ample Supplies

Grain and oilseed trading was mostly in the red today, with livestock markets trading higher. Volume was higher today in soymeal, but otherwise it was modest and even relatively low in corn. Markets tend to drift when lacking any major new directional inputs.  USDA’s weekly Export Sa...

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How the EPA’s Anti-Decision Will Affect Biofuels and Soyoil

In mythology or legends, the hero is obviously identified – the “good guy” standing up for justice, not compromising what is right, and displays courage or other noble and admired qualities. Standing in contrast – but not quite opposite – to the hero is the anti-he...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2375/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2425/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.375/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $284.7/short ton, down $1...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.1 percent of last year with the range of estimates between 98.7 and 99.7 percent of 1 September 2024. Those estimates imply an on-fee...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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