Russian Grain Markets: 2 - 6 January 2023 With a historic grain crop and the upcoming Russian Orthodox Christmas holidays, traders seem to have taken a winter break which may last the first two first weeks of January rather than one week because in Russia the old new year is celebrated too. The government is using this time to test the attitude of market operators and to announce several important updates. First, Russia will impose an export quota for grains beginning 15 February until 30 June 2023. This export quota is 25.5 MMT. Also, the rice export ban is extended until 30 June 2023. Sunflower oil export remains duty free. GASC continues buying Russian wheat and returned to tenders. 28 December saw the first tender since J...
What You Need to Know Today: There has already been a strong run of flash soybean sales announcements in recent weeks, but more than 1.4 MMT reported this morning is an exceptionally large single-day total with major implications for the market. If the sales to China and unknown destinations w...
In agriculture and food processing, we think a lot about infrastructure: transportation and storage, processing and packaging, distribution and delivery. It is a physical system of roads, railroads, and rivers; concrete and steel storage; processing plants, warehouses, and machinery; and, event...
Key Takeaways: The Panama Canal’s draft restrictions and decreasing rainfall outlook are driving big moves in dry bulk markets this week. Panamax markets are sharply lower as the economics of moving freight across the Canal are deteriorating rapidly, leading to support in Supramax vessels...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.