World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 23 -27 January 2023    Russian domestic grain markets remained stable and slightly bearish. The feature of the week was feed barley equaling feed wheat in price. Corn slightly depreciated under pressure from Ukraine which has been exporting massive amounts of the commodity from the Black Sea on a duty-free basis versus Russia having an export duty which keeps growing. The record crop allows traders to basically dictate the prices as offers are abundant and there is always willingness to negotiate from the farmer’s side. Export dynamics are slower than anticipated which may play against the Russian farmer as cashflow is important and will be even more so for the spring planting campaign. However, inex...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Win Post-WASDE Standoff

Monday’s CBOT trade quickly erased any hints of weakness that emerged during Friday’s post-WASDE selloff. The WASDE itself was – in WPI’s view – either bearish or neutral the major commodities, but futures didn’t see it that way on Monday. The soybean and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 4.9 percent week over week, reaching 16.5 percent of the suitable area. The national average yield continued to rise as combines moved through the core production zones, now at 2.6 MT/ha. In the highest-productivity regions, cutting was still limited, but early tests poin...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.4425/bushel, up $0.17 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5725/bushel, up $0.3275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $330.8/short ton, up $8.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Win Post-WASDE Standoff

Monday’s CBOT trade quickly erased any hints of weakness that emerged during Friday’s post-WASDE selloff. The WASDE itself was – in WPI’s view – either bearish or neutral the major commodities, but futures didn’t see it that way on Monday. The soybean and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 4.9 percent week over week, reaching 16.5 percent of the suitable area. The national average yield continued to rise as combines moved through the core production zones, now at 2.6 MT/ha. In the highest-productivity regions, cutting was still limited, but early tests poin...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.4425/bushel, up $0.17 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5725/bushel, up $0.3275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $330.8/short ton, up $8.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Milling Wheat  European wheat markets remain under pressure amid heavy global supplies and as aggressive Black Sea and Argentine offers cap any rallies. Too, the firmer euro has further eroded EU export competitiveness just as FOB offers from Argentina near $209–211/MT for 11.5 perce...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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