World Perspectives
livestock

BSE versus ASF

Reports out of China indicate that the ASF situation may be stabilizing. Stocks of breeding sows rose 0.6 percent last month, the first increase in 19 months. The overall herd fell 0.6 percent, the smallest month to month decline in a year. Herd sizes on large farms actually increased. Sino-skeptics are unsure whether this news is propaganda or evidence of the beginning of a recovery. In truth, the threat of ASF has not declined and may actually increase with herd size and increased distribution unless appropriate hygiene protocols are strictly executed.  Finding an analog for the China ASF situation is difficult. During the 1980’s, the outbreak of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) was considered devastating in Europe. Yet,...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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