The cattle on feed (COF) inventory as of 1 September was a record for the month at 11.1 million head, which was also the fourth time in a row that the inventory set a new monthly record.

The report was right in line with pre-report expectations. The distribution of placements by weight class is noted down below; drought conditions and low feed costs catalyzed the increase among the lighter weight categories.

Overall, the report is bearish. Given the distribution of placements by weight (see above), that pressure will extend to out contracts (i.e., December and February). Adding slightly more pressure, total pounds of beef in cold storage were up 8 percent on the month and 12 percent from last year. Total red meat in freezers was up 3...