World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders paring back their slightly bearish combined bets across the ag space. The past several weeks have featured few meaningful changes in the net ag position — the sum of funds’ holdings across corn, the soy complex, all three classes of wheat futures, and the three livestock contracts — with one week’s development usually offset the next. The whipsaw trend held again this week as funds cut 16 percent (27,000 contracts) from the net short they only recently expanded. The move signals that funds are unconvinced a major shift will develop across the ag space, suggesting more sideways trade ahead. Through last Tuesday’s CFTC reporting deadline, funds were bullish...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Snow Falls Across Midwest, Commodities Fall Across CBOT

The U.S. Midwest received heavy snowfall this weekend and as snowflakes drifted lower so – apparently – did CBOT traders’ sentiments. The ag markets were almost entirely on the defensive to start the last month of the year with soyoil being the only major market to see meaning...

Ag as Affordability Solution; EU Developments

Ag as Affordability Solution Around 12 percent of Americans received federal food assistance (SNAP) and 10 percent are classified as living below the poverty line but financial analyst Michael W. Green has controversially calculated the threshold at $136,500/year. After all, a family of four li...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT The Argentine wheat harvest advanced nearly 14 percentage points this past week, reaching 30 percent of the total area. Good weather accelerated maturation in some fields at the same time forecasts of weekend rainfall pushed harvesters to move quickly. Yields continue to surprise, with so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Snow Falls Across Midwest, Commodities Fall Across CBOT

The U.S. Midwest received heavy snowfall this weekend and as snowflakes drifted lower so – apparently – did CBOT traders’ sentiments. The ag markets were almost entirely on the defensive to start the last month of the year with soyoil being the only major market to see meaning...

Ag as Affordability Solution; EU Developments

Ag as Affordability Solution Around 12 percent of Americans received federal food assistance (SNAP) and 10 percent are classified as living below the poverty line but financial analyst Michael W. Green has controversially calculated the threshold at $136,500/year. After all, a family of four li...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT The Argentine wheat harvest advanced nearly 14 percentage points this past week, reaching 30 percent of the total area. Good weather accelerated maturation in some fields at the same time forecasts of weekend rainfall pushed harvesters to move quickly. Yields continue to surprise, with so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.45/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.35/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.28/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $314.6/short ton, down $4.1...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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