World Perspectives

China Realism; Irrepressible on S&DT; Interventions/December Outlook

China Realism The markets are justifiably tuning out all the headlines over U.S. – China trade negotiations. Craig Allen, President of the U.S. China Business Council warns that agriculture will continue to get hurt in the escalating competition with China. He says Xi Jinping does not trust Donald Trump and any phase one agreement will be both marginal and temporary. The Chinese are not going to buy what they don’t need, nor pay prices that are higher than what is charged elsewhere. In short, it has to be WTO legal. Chinese tariffs on agricultural products is the most powerful thing China has and they will always be a threat. There will be some notional aspirational ag purchases, but actual sales will not impress. The Phase II...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.24/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.225/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.255/bushel, down $0.12 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $284/short ton, down $0.7 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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