Continued fund selling beat-down row crop futures today while wheat managed modest gains. The weather is increasingly bearish U.S. corn and soybeans while providing the opposite outlook for wheat. U.S. soybeans, of course, struggle on lack of political clarity regarding the outstanding trade issues. Currency dynamics are also providing a bearish hurdle for the CBOT as well. The Brazilian real has fallen to 3.91 reals/dollar, escalating local (Brazilian) prices for corn and soybeans while lowering the cost of production. The CME Group estimates approximately 50 percent of local cost of production is influenced by exchange rates, which means half of Brazil’s production costs are rapidly falling right now. In a bear market, prices...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
What You Need to Know Today: After a period of limited activity, USDA reported a sizeable 613 KMT in soybean export sales, including 330 KMT to China and 283 KMT to unknown destinations, potentially also China. The purchases represent a meaningful pickup in demand and bring China closer to ful...
Key Takeaways: Consumer spending is a key driver of the U.S. economy, and the latest retail sales data indicate that spending remains robust despite inflation. In September, total retail and food service sales rose more than 6 percent year-over-year, with food service spending up 7 percent and...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...