World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Commodities Back in the Lead

It’s far too early to say the bear market is dead. It is interesting, however, to watch how some of these commodity markets have exploded higher without any really disastrous supply-side news. A story in today’s Financial Times under the headline “Commodities beating global bonds and stocks in 2016” reports that the Bloomberg Commodity Index is up 11.1 percent for the year. This compares with Barclay’s Global Aggregate Bond Index, the U.S. S&P, and the FTSE All World Global Equities Index, which are up 6.4 percent, 4 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively.This is a dramatic change from the commodity picture of the past few years. Crude oil that was going to drop to $15-20/barrel is trading right at $50 today. Soybean futures were headed...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved for a second consecutive week but remained firmly negative. Margins rose $70/head to –$179 as the Choice cutout advanced $4.56/cwt and fed cattle prices were largely stable. The recovery narrowed the gap between breakeven and cash cattle values to roughly $19/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

The CBOT started Wednesday’s overnight trade on a high note with traders returning from the prior day’s risk-off selling and finding support from export-led grain demand. Shortly after the day session began, however, hopes of higher trade for grains quickly evaporated as funds and s...

GI Chimera; Catch Bees with Honey; AI My Eye

GI Chimera The EU-Mercosur trade agreement has hit another stumbling block after the European Parliament asked the EU’s high court to first assess the text for its legality. Once that exercise is complete, Europe’s politicians promise plenty more hurdles to stymie agricultural impor...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins improved for a second consecutive week but remained firmly negative. Margins rose $70/head to –$179 as the Choice cutout advanced $4.56/cwt and fed cattle prices were largely stable. The recovery narrowed the gap between breakeven and cash cattle values to roughly $19/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

The CBOT started Wednesday’s overnight trade on a high note with traders returning from the prior day’s risk-off selling and finding support from export-led grain demand. Shortly after the day session began, however, hopes of higher trade for grains quickly evaporated as funds and s...

GI Chimera; Catch Bees with Honey; AI My Eye

GI Chimera The EU-Mercosur trade agreement has hit another stumbling block after the European Parliament asked the EU’s high court to first assess the text for its legality. Once that exercise is complete, Europe’s politicians promise plenty more hurdles to stymie agricultural impor...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2175/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.645/bushel, up $0.115 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $0.2...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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