When the old year passes into a new year, it is common to look back at the important events, trends and other features of the old year (as we did last week for 2011). It is also tempting to dust off the crystal ball and try to forecast or guess what might be those important events, trends and features of the new year. This temptation is particularly strong for economists, which we are not, but also for market watchers, which we often are. It makes sense, we suppose, since by their very nature futures markets are predictors of the future, albeit with a relatively narrow focus.We must acknowledge, however, that in the case of grain futures markets, their narrow focus has been forced to widen in recent years. In part this is due to economic...