World Perspectives

COVID-19 Calculations; Trade Policy Shorts

COVID-19 Calculations Equities have now plunged two days in a row over the coronavirus, but commodities fought back today rather than overreact. The COVID-19 virus is said to have put Italy close to recession, though German businesses are said to still be positive. That is the problem with current risk calculations – the WHO says infections have plateaued in China and it is still not a global pandemic, but that one cannot be ruled out.  The economic impact is being felt. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin says China will still meet its Phase One purchasing commitments, but Goldman Sachs cut U.S. Q1 growth to 1.2 percent and some analysts have cut China’s growth to 4.5 percent in Q1 and 5.4 percent for the year. Argentina sa...

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Market Commentary: Some Weekend Pullbacks but Nothing Scary

It was a pause and reflect day for some contracts, and more getting beat down for the cattle market. The latter invoking more limit-down safeguards. There were slight gains for soymeal, HRW and hogs, with the rest of the complex showing red. There was good volume for a Friday in corn, soybeans,...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4175/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, up $1.8...

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Trump’s Beef Market Fiasco: The Why and Wherefores of Market Fundamentals

As Matt Herrington and Gary Blumenthal covered Wednesday, Trump has announced big plans for the beef market (Market Commentary, Disconnected Beef) which were largely a bust. Gary wrote, “Live cattle futures pulled back sharply on Wednesday with no apparent fundamental catalyst, other than...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Some Weekend Pullbacks but Nothing Scary

It was a pause and reflect day for some contracts, and more getting beat down for the cattle market. The latter invoking more limit-down safeguards. There were slight gains for soymeal, HRW and hogs, with the rest of the complex showing red. There was good volume for a Friday in corn, soybeans,...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.125/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4175/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, up $1.8...

livestock

Trump’s Beef Market Fiasco: The Why and Wherefores of Market Fundamentals

As Matt Herrington and Gary Blumenthal covered Wednesday, Trump has announced big plans for the beef market (Market Commentary, Disconnected Beef) which were largely a bust. Gary wrote, “Live cattle futures pulled back sharply on Wednesday with no apparent fundamental catalyst, other than...

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Forecasting 2026 Cattle Inventories: Beef and Dairy Herd Increases Expected

The cattle industry – and beef in particular – has been in the headlines more than usual this year with record-breaking prices for beef and cattle. The market dynamics – long known and anticipated by the industry – have even draw the attention of President Trump, who imm...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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