With the start of the fall weaning and marketing program for most of America’s cow-calf producers, we’re starting to see the first realized profits for the sector this year. From January through September, WPI’s cow-calf profit models are built upon the assumption that most producers will market their calves in the October-December period, and we forecast prices, revenues, and margins accordingly. Now, WPI starts to estimate what the actual profitability looks like, based on actual prices for Q4 instead of forecasts. Cow-calf margins so far in October are outperforming expectations, thanks largely to stronger than predicted calf prices. Steer calf prices (600-650 lb. animals) are averaging $18/cwt more than expectations so far this fal...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...
Key Takeaways: Drought remains a major threat to global agricultural production, particularly in regions with limited rainfall and growing water scarcity. Commercially available drought-tolerant traits in corn, soybeans, and wheat have generally delivered modest yield improvements, limiting th...
Key Takeaways: Peace at last in the Persian Gulf? Over the weekend, the U.S. announced and Iranian officials confirmed a peace agreement, with formal ratification set for Geneva on 19 June. The announcement means the Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen fully and toll-free within 30 days.&n...