World Perspectives

Debt Leverage Volatility; Land Ownership Focus; Speculators in Detention

Debt Leverage Volatility Markets hate uncertainty but the upcoming hardball political play in Washington is as transparent as cellophane. Congressional Democrats are going to put $3.5 trillion worth of deficit spending and policy dreams into a legislative package that they hope to steamroll over Republicans using the budget reconciliation process. The only leverage Republicans hold to prevent such a massive change in government policy and spending is the need to legislatively raise the official sanctioned amount of debt held by taxpayers. Failing to raise the debt ceiling would place taxpayers in default and will be framed as reckless by the Democrats. Ultimately, the debt ceiling will be raised but in small increments over time so that it...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: SCOTUS Ruling, South America Weather Send CBOT Lower

The CBOT turned lower on Monday, with the back-and-forth action of the Supreme Court and President Trump regarding tariffs on foreign imports driving volatility. For the ag markets, the biggest impact of the SCOTUS ruling seems to be doubts that China will adhere to its soybean purchase plan, a...

Tariff Confusion Fun; Practical Judgements and Threats to Food; Glypho Confusion; Food Inflation

Tariff Confusion Fun Reactions to the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling that general use of tariffs is not within the President’s authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) have been wildly diverse. Mass media headlines initially celebrated the “smack do...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.275/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.7375/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4975/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $312.5/short ton, down $1.3 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: SCOTUS Ruling, South America Weather Send CBOT Lower

The CBOT turned lower on Monday, with the back-and-forth action of the Supreme Court and President Trump regarding tariffs on foreign imports driving volatility. For the ag markets, the biggest impact of the SCOTUS ruling seems to be doubts that China will adhere to its soybean purchase plan, a...

Tariff Confusion Fun; Practical Judgements and Threats to Food; Glypho Confusion; Food Inflation

Tariff Confusion Fun Reactions to the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling that general use of tariffs is not within the President’s authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) have been wildly diverse. Mass media headlines initially celebrated the “smack do...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.275/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.7375/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4975/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $312.5/short ton, down $1.3 fro...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Bullish Outlook

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released Friday. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity was 11.5 million head, unchanged from last month, but 98 percent of last year. Marketings totaled 1.63 million head, or 87 percent of last year, in li...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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