World Perspectives

Despite Market Volatility, U.S. Economic Outlook Remains Strong

As WPI readers know, the U.S. stock markets have recently seen heightened volatility due to surprising macroeconomic data and trends, including unemployment and interest rates. The data have been somewhat conflicting, with unemployment rates and inflation gauges offering different outlooks. WPI’s effort here is to take a look at the major macroeconomic factors driving markets and offer an outlook for the U.S. economy for the rest of 2024 and early 2025.  To do this, WPI looks at macroeconomics through three primary lenses: national-level factors, consumer income and financial trends, and consumer spending trends. The first, national-level factors, includes items such as the Treasury yield curve, the inflation rate(s), and labor...

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Market Commentary: Biofuel and Trade Policy Worries Pressure CBOT along with Dollar Strength

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The MarketThe January soybean contract has been sliding all week and despite support at the 20-day moving average of $10.01/ST, it closed today below $10/bushel for the first time this month. The reasons are many including: a rising dollar value, 2) large impending South American production, 3)...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Wheat closed at $5.3025/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.875/bushel, down $0.2025 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $287/short ton, down $4.6 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Biofuel and Trade Policy Worries Pressure CBOT along with Dollar Strength

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Oilseed Highlights: Multi-Bearish Factors

The MarketThe January soybean contract has been sliding all week and despite support at the 20-day moving average of $10.01/ST, it closed today below $10/bushel for the first time this month. The reasons are many including: a rising dollar value, 2) large impending South American production, 3)...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Wheat closed at $5.3025/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.875/bushel, down $0.2025 from yesterday's close. Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $287/short ton, down $4.6 fro...

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Market Commentary: Bearish Beat Goes On

The CBOT was essentially all red on Wednesday with traders finding little support from either the fundamental or technical components of commodity price analysis. Wheat was the downside leader for the day as a strong dollar, improving conditions in the Plains, and increasingly tepid exports fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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