World Perspectives

Disagree on the Disagreement; Stop Progress; Diverging Opinions; Dead Trees

Disagree on the Disagreement From the U.S. perspective, its goals for a trade agreement with China have been clear all along, and it was Beijing that backtracked when it deleted nearly a third of the 150-page draft document. From the perspective of China, it is Washington that has been untrustworthy, and it added provisions that resulted in an “unequal treaty.” Since there is currently an imbalance of trade concessions in China’s favor, an effort to better balance them inherently means an unequal document. The larger concern is the slipping away of momentum. President Xi Jinping warns that the U.S. is attempting to force its version of civilization on China. Beijing-based Pang Zhongying at Renmin University believes the...

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Mercosur Regional Analysis

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Almost none of the primary U.S. grain or oilseed offerings have made a solid start to 2025-26, as export sales for the upcoming marketing year are largely near multi-year lows. This is not yet a huge problem since the typical buying periods for the season’s supplies are mostly still in th...

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May 25 Corn closed at $4.8175/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.385/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.295/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $292.9/short ton, down $2...

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Almost none of the primary U.S. grain or oilseed offerings have made a solid start to 2025-26, as export sales for the upcoming marketing year are largely near multi-year lows. This is not yet a huge problem since the typical buying periods for the season’s supplies are mostly still in th...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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