The federal government's revenues are outpacing its outlays compared with 2014. This and other positive economic factors have strengthened the U.S. dollar, which is a drag on commodity prices.There is much to be read in the economic tea leaves lately that points to a strong U.S. economic recovery. First of all, total receipts for the federal government are up for the first 10 months of the fiscal year. The reasons for this are:

Income tax withholding was up 6 percent or $100 billion, most likely from gains in wages and salaries. Non-withheld tax receipts were up 16 percent or $71 billion, reflecting growth in non-wage income such as that of entrepreneurs. Corporate income taxes increased by 9 percent or $22 billion as a result of highe...