World Perspectives
biofuel

Ethanol Sobriety Check

Politics and not economics drove the White House announcement today to approve year-round E15 fuel sales under an emergency waiver of the Clean Air Act’s requirements. Ethanol makes sense as an octane booster but less so as a gasoline substitute. Blending at the E15 level is already allowed in winter months and yet its use remains very low. The EIA has no measurement of E15 (or E85) use, but their best guess is 200 million gallons of E15, or 0.148 percent of all gasoline sold. Meanwhile, EIA says that “Almost all [95%] U.S. gasoline is blended with 10 percent ethanol.”  Corn only gained about 10 cents/bushel today despite a policy announcement that theoretically could have sent it into the stratosphere. Boosting etha...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, down $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.485/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2075/bushel, down $0.285 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.9/short ton, down...

Trade Deadline Extended, Threats Sharpened; African Moves; WTO Reforms

Trade Deadline Extended, Threats Sharpened President Trump announced that the 9 July deadline for trade agreements with the U.S. to avoid reciprocal tariffs will be extended to 1 August. Eighteen countries are being targeted for trade negotiations, and a smaller subset received letters today on...

Skinny Farm Bill Left to Finish

President Trump said yesterday that the U.S. is nearing several new trade deals and that letters will be sent to trading partners by 9 July warning of increased tariffs set to take effect on 1 August. That announcement effectively extends the administration’s trade deadline from this week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, down $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.485/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2075/bushel, down $0.285 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.9/short ton, down...

Trade Deadline Extended, Threats Sharpened; African Moves; WTO Reforms

Trade Deadline Extended, Threats Sharpened President Trump announced that the 9 July deadline for trade agreements with the U.S. to avoid reciprocal tariffs will be extended to 1 August. Eighteen countries are being targeted for trade negotiations, and a smaller subset received letters today on...

Skinny Farm Bill Left to Finish

President Trump said yesterday that the U.S. is nearing several new trade deals and that letters will be sent to trading partners by 9 July warning of increased tariffs set to take effect on 1 August. That announcement effectively extends the administration’s trade deadline from this week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Day But a Strong Week, And More Ahead

It was the last trading day of a shorter trading week that provided lots of inputs. It started with the Acreage and Quarterly Stocks reports, which changed little but they did confirm expectations. Weather continues to point toward ample crop supplies. President Trump teased there is a trade de...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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