World Perspectives
biofuel

Ethanol to Rebound in New Crop Year

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) today, dropping its forecast for ethanol use for the third month in a row. Per today’s report, consumption this year is projected to average 804,000 barrels per day (bpd), down from 815,000 barrels per day (BPD) in May. That is about 12.88 billion gallons. Of course, much of the reduction for that yearly average is based on what has already taken place under the COVID-19 lockdown, with gasoline use down about 23 percent in Q2 2020. Ethanol consumption is projected to rebound in the second half of the year and continue for the next 18 months, as is ethanol production, but not really dramatically until the new corn marketing year with a 7.5...

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Historic Trends in USDA’s November Crop Production Report

Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harve...

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Market Commentary: Soybeans Rally as China Cuts Tariffs; Cattle Implosion Continues

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Historic Trends in USDA’s November Crop Production Report

Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harve...

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Market Commentary: Soybeans Rally as China Cuts Tariffs; Cattle Implosion Continues

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IEEPA Alternatives; Transatlantic Machinations; Anti-Bubble in Ag

IEEPA Alternatives The U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments today challenging President Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to unilaterally set tariffs on ther countries. Mr. Trump characterized the High Court’s decision as involving, “lit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3525/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3425/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $324.8/short ton, up $7.4 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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