Milling Wheat Global wheat prices were higher last week as concerns about the 2024/25 Russian supply and export program increase as well as concerns about the 2025/26 Black Sea production outlook. Russian exports are down sharply over the past few weeks and are projected to total just 2.2 MMT in February as tightening supplies, rising prices, and the export quota exert their impacts. Additionally, the weather forecast for the Black Sea includes very cold temperatures this week with spotty snow cover that could increase winter kill risks. Further threats to the Russian 2025 crop will cause outsized reactions in global markets. EU prices were weaker last week as exports continue to struggle. EU YTD wheat exports for 2024/25 total...
What You Need to Know Today: Iran says its definition of the Strait of Hormuz is now a “vast operation area” that stretches from Jask to Siri Island. The White House said President Trump did not sign a suspension of the TRQs on beef imports but is “finalizing potential...
If the media headlines and Trump critics are to be believed, President Trump is headed to Beijing this Thursday in a weakened position. China is in control, it has the upper hand, and expectations are very low. These are the same critics that argue against overly simplistic zero-sum analyses in...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.