World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Ukraine is increasingly becoming the dominant supplier of grains from the Black Sea region. Ukrainian grain exports are up 49 percent YTD at 1.7 MMT, with wheat exports down just 3 percent YTD. Ukraine’s early-season exports have benefitted from Russia’s export taxes and tight Russian supplies/slow origination that are making Russian offers hard to find.  The EU Commission’s MARS crop monitoring unit said recent heavy rains and flooding in France, Germany, and Ukraine will reduce wheat quality rather than yields. That would imply a higher supply of feed-grade wheat and possible supply tightness in milling-grade wheat for domestic use and export.  The EU Commission pegged the EU-27 2021 whea...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.595/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8775/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.635/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $326.6/short ton, down $1.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Oil and Iran Conflict Still in Drivers’ Seat, but This Time Creating Pressure

Volatility has been no stranger to the CBOT these past three weeks, and the one consistency during this time has been the dramatic coupling of ag markets’ fortunes to the foibles of crude oil. That was again true on Monday, but this time crude oil offered a bearish – rather than sup...

WTO Realism; Reindustrialization; Canadian Ego

WTO Realism The WTO’s 14th Ministerial Conference begins later this week, and while some have high hopes, pragmatists understand the elongated nature of consensus-based multinational policy development. EU trade minister Maroš Šefčovič expresses the hopes of his constituents...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.595/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.8775/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.635/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $326.6/short ton, down $1.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Oil and Iran Conflict Still in Drivers’ Seat, but This Time Creating Pressure

Volatility has been no stranger to the CBOT these past three weeks, and the one consistency during this time has been the dramatic coupling of ag markets’ fortunes to the foibles of crude oil. That was again true on Monday, but this time crude oil offered a bearish – rather than sup...

WTO Realism; Reindustrialization; Canadian Ego

WTO Realism The WTO’s 14th Ministerial Conference begins later this week, and while some have high hopes, pragmatists understand the elongated nature of consensus-based multinational policy development. EU trade minister Maroš Šefčovič expresses the hopes of his constituents...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

CORN Argentina’s corn harvest continues to move forward and has now reached 13 percent of planted area, with fieldwork still concentrated in the North Core. Progress there remains steady, and yields are averaging 9.82 MT/ha. Harvest is also beginning to pick up in the South Core, where ea...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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