Regional News Ukraine is increasingly becoming the dominant supplier of grains from the Black Sea region. Ukrainian grain exports are up 49 percent YTD at 1.7 MMT, with wheat exports down just 3 percent YTD. Ukraine’s early-season exports have benefitted from Russia’s export taxes and tight Russian supplies/slow origination that are making Russian offers hard to find. The EU Commission’s MARS crop monitoring unit said recent heavy rains and flooding in France, Germany, and Ukraine will reduce wheat quality rather than yields. That would imply a higher supply of feed-grade wheat and possible supply tightness in milling-grade wheat for domestic use and export. The EU Commission pegged the EU-27 2021 whea...
Key Market Insights Macro: Dollar Up, Stocks Down The U.S. dollar moved higher today, creating another headwind for American exports. A stronger dollar makes U.S. commodities more expensive on the global market and can make it harder for exporters to compete against South American and Black Sea...
Key Takeaways: Australia's wheat crop is expected to decline sharply in 2026/27 as dry conditions and high input costs reduce planted area and yield potential. Some Australian farmers are shifting acreage from wheat to barley and canola in response to weather and profitability concerns.&...
Russian Grain Market, 25-29 May 2026 Russian grain markets remained firm across most of European Russia last week, while activity in Asian regions was more mixed. Farmer selling remains limited despite large carryover stocks, helping support domestic values. The spread between old-crop and new-...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.