World Perspectives

Farm Income and Expenses Reflect Market and Economy

Amid the news of an agreement to restart China-U.S. trade talks, China’s undefined promise to buy more U.S. commodities and the anticipation as well as uncertainty about the fate of the USMCA, USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS) released its 2018 net farm income forecast. The estimates are as expected with large supplies, trade disputes, volatile global markets and a strong general economy. Nominal cash receipts are steady, inflation-adjusted receipts are down, and inputs and operations are more expensive, and government payments are up. Cash receipts will be up slightly on volume, driven by early-in-the-year sales prior to the tariffs placed on U.S. commodities by China, Canada, Mexico and others. For all commodities, cash...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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