Easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, assuming the ceasefire holds, should bring fertilizer prices down, but it could be years before that actually occurs because fertilizer price shocks resulted from not one, but two wars in or near the heart of global fertilizer production. Those wars resulted in lasting damage. First, there was the war between Russia and Ukraine, disrupting the fertilizer pipeline as key production facilities were destroyed. In turn, this led to sanctions and energy shifts in Europe, leading to shrinking fertilizer supplies and price spikes. Then came the war with Iran, halting shipments from global fertilizer producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE, and Qatar. An estimated 24 percent of all global ammonia trade...