World Perspectives
livestock

Forecasting Pork Demand

U.S. hog and pork markets exploded this year with pork prices challenging the COVID-19 pandemic highs and hog values challenging record highs set during the 2013 PEDv outbreak. One key difference between today’s market and those of these prior periods is that hog slaughter remains near or above five-year highs. Clearly, the market is not rallying due to shortages of hog supplies, so hog/pork demand must be primarily responsible for the price gains.  The year 2020 saw a huge pork export program that many (WPI included) thought was extremely unlikely to be repeated. Yet, despite the pork market’s rally, U.S. exports are down just 3.3 percent from 2020’s record breaking pace. That international buyers have yet to modera...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.06/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.49/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2725/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.6/short ton, down $1.7 f...

livestock

Feeder Cattle Import Update

As summer demand for beef is upon us, fed cattle hit $233 per cwt yesterday, having moved above $200 per cwt in April on tight supplies. The cattle herd as of 1 January was the smallest in more than 50 years, imports of feeder cattle from Mexico have been suspended due to the New World Screwwor...

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12; Power of Ag; Trump Power

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12 Delineating the Supremacy Clause of the U.S. Constitution from the rights of the states has long been a legal fight in the U.S. Thus, it was notable last night when the U.S. Senate voted 99-1 to remove language from the Big Beautiful Bill that would have restric...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Sep 25 Corn closed at $4.06/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.49/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2725/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.6/short ton, down $1.7 f...

livestock

Feeder Cattle Import Update

As summer demand for beef is upon us, fed cattle hit $233 per cwt yesterday, having moved above $200 per cwt in April on tight supplies. The cattle herd as of 1 January was the smallest in more than 50 years, imports of feeder cattle from Mexico have been suspended due to the New World Screwwor...

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12; Power of Ag; Trump Power

Prop 12 Lives, Long Live Prop 12 Delineating the Supremacy Clause of the U.S. Constitution from the rights of the states has long been a legal fight in the U.S. Thus, it was notable last night when the U.S. Senate voted 99-1 to remove language from the Big Beautiful Bill that would have restric...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins finally turned positive last week, the first time packers have made money killing cattle since last October. Margins swung dramatically from a -$131/head loss the prior week to a $15/head gain to close out June. The profits came from the sharp rally in beef prices, a $5/cwt...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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