World Perspectives
wheat softs

Fungibility for Food Security

There is speculation that rice prices will increase due a smaller crop in India, the world’s largest exporter, and the impacts of El Niño. That is not currently reflected in futures prices, which have fallen 18 percent from their high at the beginning of the year. India’s rice stocks have declined 8.5 percent from 2022/23 levels, but the government has increased the minimum purchase price and that will incentivize more production. At the same time, global wheat ending stocks are rising, including a 47 percent increase in India’s wheat carryover.  Although rice may carry a preference in Asia, wheat demand has been growing much faster than rice demand. It has nutritional advantages over traditional white rice su...

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Market Commentary: Plenty of Risk, Not Enough Conviction

Key Market Insights Markets aren’t trading fundamentals right now—they’re pricing risk. The Middle East remains the center of gravity, and the latest developments point to a situation that is not escalating—but not resolving either. That’s a difficult environment...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.07/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.645/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $316.3/short ton, down $4.9 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 13-17 April 2026 The Russian grains market remained relatively stable during the week, pressured by ample global wheat supply, strong international competition, and a firmer ruble. To maintain competitiveness—particularly against Ukraine and Kazakhstan—the gov...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Plenty of Risk, Not Enough Conviction

Key Market Insights Markets aren’t trading fundamentals right now—they’re pricing risk. The Middle East remains the center of gravity, and the latest developments point to a situation that is not escalating—but not resolving either. That’s a difficult environment...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Wheat closed at $6.07/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.645/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Jul 26 Soymeal closed at $316.3/short ton, down $4.9 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 13-17 April 2026 The Russian grains market remained relatively stable during the week, pressured by ample global wheat supply, strong international competition, and a firmer ruble. To maintain competitiveness—particularly against Ukraine and Kazakhstan—the gov...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Key Takeaways: Wheat markets are supported by U.S. weather risk, though EU fundamentals remain bearish on strong supply, weak demand, and currency pressure. Upside is limited, with global strength unlikely to drive sustained EU gains. Maize markets are firming on Brazil weather risk and tighte...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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