World Perspectives
wheat softs

Fungibility for Food Security

There is speculation that rice prices will increase due a smaller crop in India, the world’s largest exporter, and the impacts of El Niño. That is not currently reflected in futures prices, which have fallen 18 percent from their high at the beginning of the year. India’s rice stocks have declined 8.5 percent from 2022/23 levels, but the government has increased the minimum purchase price and that will incentivize more production. At the same time, global wheat ending stocks are rising, including a 47 percent increase in India’s wheat carryover.  Although rice may carry a preference in Asia, wheat demand has been growing much faster than rice demand. It has nutritional advantages over traditional white rice su...

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Market Commentary: Grains and Livestock Take Diverging Paths

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WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 21 July)

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2225/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4225/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.26/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $284.8/short ton, down $4...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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