World Perspectives

Future of Trump Trade Policy; Iced Coffee

Future of Trump Trade Policy  The U.S. has lower tariffs and fewer nontariff barriers than most other countries. The theory of Trump trade policy has involved an eye for an eye – imposing tariffs to leverage more equitable treatment. It has not worked well. South Korea, Canada and Mexico were turned, but most other countries have simply reciprocated in kind. If tariffs are punitive and harmful, it is apparently only at the margins. New Delhi is being forced to accept the loss of its nonreciprocal benefits under Generalized System of Preferences (GSP), but India is among the top 20 least trade-dependent, developing countries. The latest threat of tariffs on Mexico for failing to secure the southern side of the border with the U...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday but Friday is Another Day

Today’s trading opened with a head scratcher after USDA reported 135 KMT of U.S. corn sold to China. There isn’t any corn import demand in China, and if there was it probably would not originate from the U.S. It was quickly corrected to be bound to South Korea.   Nonethele...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2425/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.1/short ton, down $2.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Further Identification of Mispricing in Ag Futures

WPI offers the following analysis as a continuation of last week’s work examining mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. Readers may recall that this work seeks to identify for the major agricultural commodities where along the forward curve current futures have the greatest er...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Turnaround Thursday but Friday is Another Day

Today’s trading opened with a head scratcher after USDA reported 135 KMT of U.S. corn sold to China. There isn’t any corn import demand in China, and if there was it probably would not originate from the U.S. It was quickly corrected to be bound to South Korea.   Nonethele...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2075/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2425/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $283.1/short ton, down $2.5 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Further Identification of Mispricing in Ag Futures

WPI offers the following analysis as a continuation of last week’s work examining mispricing opportunities in agricultural futures. Readers may recall that this work seeks to identify for the major agricultural commodities where along the forward curve current futures have the greatest er...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle Inventory and Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow, along with the biannual July Cattle Inventory report for the first time in two years after it was suspended in 2024. For the Cattle on Feed report, analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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