World Perspectives

Future U.S. Trade Policy

Based on the current trajectory, there will be a new U.S. president in 2021, but how will it change American trade policy? For one, there will be less arbitrary and hyper-aggressive actions by Washington. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is so upset about the current U.S. Administration’s threat to impose additional duties on steel and aluminum that he is skipping a trilateral USMCA leadership meeting. It could be argued that he might better have avoided new tariffs by playing to President Trump’s ego rather than bruising it, but such is the state of U.S. foreign relations.  Many of the current U.S. trade policy goals, such as reforming the WTO, making trade agreements more reciprocal and balanced in the concessions,...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed that funds are slightly increasing bullish bets across the ag space, primarily in the soy complex and livestock futures. Managed money traders’ net ag position (the combined position across the soybean complex, the three U.S. wheat contracts, corn, and th...

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Market Commentary: No Raucous End to the Week

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soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Crush Margin Outlook

U.S. soybean processing margins have seen considerable volatility over the past month as multiple fundamental factors upended global oilseed and product prices. The most obvious influence was the recent trade war and tit-for-tat escalation in tariffs between the U.S. and, which was exacerbated...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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