The trade will be watching this Thursday’s release of USDA’s September WASDE report and how it differs from the August estimates. With so much money riding on the outcome, there are plenty of second-guessers issuing their own pre-report predictions. USDA itself feverishly analyzes its relative success or failure. It continues revising both its processes and its numbers. Speculators are going short, monetarily betting that the report will be bearish. Of course, what ultimately matters will be the final outcome. Looking at the September WASDE estimates just for production of corn, wheat and soybeans and contrasting them with the final numbers, there has been a bearish leaning over the past five years. In other words, final produc...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
What You Need to Know Today: After a period of limited activity, USDA reported a sizeable 613 KMT in soybean export sales, including 330 KMT to China and 283 KMT to unknown destinations, potentially also China. The purchases represent a meaningful pickup in demand and bring China closer to ful...
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...