Most reviews of the year 2023 characterize the period as tumultuous, largely due to the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, coups in Africa driven by gold mining, plus western tensions with China. Now the outlook for 2024 is being framed as scarier still. The wars and tensions continue but adding to the mayhem will be elections in major democracies such as the U.S., EU and India. Analysis by AgriCensus attributed the 29 percent ($16 billion) decline in commodity trading in 2023 to geopolitical tensions plus weather (El Niño), or what they described as climate change. Could increased geopolitical risks and the threat of a Second Cold War mean even worse commodity declines for 2024? Researchers from USC and Linköping University...