World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Historic Trends in USDA’s November Crop Production Report

Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harvested area, and production figures from the September to the November reports. That shows a marked difference from the average change from 2000-2024, in which yields were generally revised higher and by degrees that offset larger cuts to harvested area estimates.     What is more interesting is looking at the yield trends by major cropping region. The five-year average yield change from September to November is negative for all the reg...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5775/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $290/short ton, up $0.8 from ye...

Government Funding Update: ICE Policy Risks

This past fall the U.S. government was shutdown for the longest period in history, with a temporary reprieve reached to re-open the government until the end of this month (30 January). Regardless of what happens, USDA was funded for the year under the compromise package, thus keeping the agency...

livestock

Cattle Inventory Expectations: Beef and Dairy Expansion

With the USDA’s semi-annual Cattle Inventory report just two weeks away now, many in the industry are sharpening their pencils to forecast what the inventory numbers will be. Perhaps more so than any other year past, this year’s forecasting effort is complicated by several unusual f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.2475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5775/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $290/short ton, up $0.8 from ye...

Government Funding Update: ICE Policy Risks

This past fall the U.S. government was shutdown for the longest period in history, with a temporary reprieve reached to re-open the government until the end of this month (30 January). Regardless of what happens, USDA was funded for the year under the compromise package, thus keeping the agency...

livestock

Cattle Inventory Expectations: Beef and Dairy Expansion

With the USDA’s semi-annual Cattle Inventory report just two weeks away now, many in the industry are sharpening their pencils to forecast what the inventory numbers will be. Perhaps more so than any other year past, this year’s forecasting effort is complicated by several unusual f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatility Continues with Corn Less Supported than Soybeans

The market continues to look for a floor following Monday’s WASDE report, with soybeans and soyoil finding terra firma on a bullish NOPA report that showed crush at a near-record level. Volume was generally subdued but skyrocketed in soyoil as traders sought to get a piece of the rising a...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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