World Perspectives
livestock

Hogs and Pigs with Bearish Undertones

On 23 December, USDA released its quarterly (Sept-Nov) Hogs & Pigs report and it was bearish. The total inventory of hogs and pigs on 1 December was 75.845 million head, up 0.5 percent year-on-year and slightly ahead of the pre-report consensus estimates.12242024dave1.png 41.47 KBThe typical hog cycle sees inventories grow from 1 June and peak for the year on 1 September, dropping back down on 1 December. The 1 December 2024 inventory was down 1.38 percent from the 1 September total.  Note that 2018 and 2022 were the exceptions where 1 December inventories grew above the September inventory. This was the largest December inventory since 2020 and the second consecutive year of expansion, after three consecutive years of contraction...

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Market Commentary: Markets Hopeful but Guarded on China; CBOT Falls on Demand Worries

Technical selling, disappointment with the USDA’s latest policy moves, and favorable rains across the Midwest took a bearish toll on the CBOT markets Wednesday. The Federal Reserve, as expected, cut interest rates today and signaled a more dovish approach for the next several months, whic...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2675/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2825/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4375/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down...

WTO and Trump; Analytically Correct, Predictably Wrong

WTO and Trump To quote Wikipedia, James Bacchus is “an American statesman, scholar, writer, and politician". He also served as a founding member and twice chairman of the WTO’s Appellate Body. He now writes from the Libertarian Cato Institute and provocatively asks why the WTO is no...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Markets Hopeful but Guarded on China; CBOT Falls on Demand Worries

Technical selling, disappointment with the USDA’s latest policy moves, and favorable rains across the Midwest took a bearish toll on the CBOT markets Wednesday. The Federal Reserve, as expected, cut interest rates today and signaled a more dovish approach for the next several months, whic...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2675/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2825/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4375/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down...

WTO and Trump; Analytically Correct, Predictably Wrong

WTO and Trump To quote Wikipedia, James Bacchus is “an American statesman, scholar, writer, and politician". He also served as a founding member and twice chairman of the WTO’s Appellate Body. He now writes from the Libertarian Cato Institute and provocatively asks why the WTO is no...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 17 September)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here. Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “How To”...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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