World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Hot Vegetable Oil

The global oilseeds situation remained on track this past week with supplies tight and prices rising. March soybeans likely added over 50 cents this week, but nothing is hotter than the global vegetable oil situation. First a look at the overall soybean production situation. South American Soybeans Growers have had a brief respite from the heat and drought, allowing crop conditions to improve somewhat, but damage has been done. A survey in hardest hit Rio Grande do Sul pegs losses at 48.7 percent and the value of lost soy and corn is said to be $6.6 billion. That number rhymes with Paraguay where Michael Cordonnier says soybean output could be 50 percent smaller. Estimates are also falling in Matto Grosso do Sul. Producers in Paraná...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Session and More Ahead

Corn and soybeans traded much the way they did in the overnight session, though wheat posted something of a reversal. There were flash sales of corn to Mexico and Colombia but no new soybeans sales, which was bearish.  Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who is reportedly rising as a lead po...

soy-oilseeds

Soybean Crushing Margins Outlook for Q1 2025

With China back in the market for U.S. soybeans and soy product margins diverging from recent patterns, soybean crushing margins are again in a state of uncertainty. Volatility in CBOT board soybean crush margins has lessened over the past month with the soybean futures rally being almost equal...

USMCA Review Underway

U.S. trade officials have started the formal review process for the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), inviting public comment ahead of next year's renegotiation of the pact. Under the process, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) will eventually be required to provide reports...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Session and More Ahead

Corn and soybeans traded much the way they did in the overnight session, though wheat posted something of a reversal. There were flash sales of corn to Mexico and Colombia but no new soybeans sales, which was bearish.  Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who is reportedly rising as a lead po...

soy-oilseeds

Soybean Crushing Margins Outlook for Q1 2025

With China back in the market for U.S. soybeans and soy product margins diverging from recent patterns, soybean crushing margins are again in a state of uncertainty. Volatility in CBOT board soybean crush margins has lessened over the past month with the soybean futures rally being almost equal...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4725/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.4025/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.195/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $311.2/short ton, down $0.1 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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