In the world of global grain trading, commodities are deemed fungible, or mutually interchangeable. However, fungibility is a relative term since grain prices can vary geographically for various reasons including transportation costs, local supply/demand differences, small qualitative differences, information gaps, etc. The following example of wheat prices this year is illustrative. In the graphs below, spot wheat prices in the Black Sea region, including Ukraine, experienced an “M” shaped volatility early this calendar year followed by a sharp spike upwards in the fall. However, spot wheat prices in Argentina did not reflect the earlier volatility and instead made a steady year-long, less steep climb toward today’s curr...
What You Need to Know Today: Commodities were mostly lower across the board today after yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting hinted at a potential interest rate hike later in 2026. The dollar index reached its highest level in over a year, and a strong dollar makes U.S. agricultural expor...
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) enters its mandated six-year review on 1 July. The original intent of the review is outlined in Article 34.7, which obligates members to: Provide recommendations and decide on appropriate actions. Extend the USMCA for another 16 years and meet aga...
The CBOT/CME markets and our offices will be closed tomorrow, Friday, 19 June in observance of the U.S. Juneteenth holiday. Please note that the next Ag Perspectives will be published on Monday, 22 June. ...
From WPI Consulting
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.