Certain clients have asked if it would not be equally advantageous to hedge next season's production in more actively traded nearby contracts rather than in the more distant "new crop" December contract. After all, when looking at long-term charts, nearby and distant contracts appear to move with great harmony. The short answer is, absolutely not!The producer of a crop can suffer financial ruin by choosing to hedge future production in a closer nearby contract. That scenario is particularly dangerous in a year such as this one, when ending stocks for the current old crop year are anticipated to be very tight. For clarity's sake, please consider the following discussion and hypothetical example:In a normal growing season with ample supplie...