The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has suggested that it is too early to predict the monsoon pattern and El Niño's effect, but it has also issued warnings and advisories to farmers. Indian Monsoon and the El Niño Factor According to several meteorological agency reports from sources such as Australia and Japan, chances exceed 70 percent that an El Niño weather phenomenon will develop in 2014. The impact could be devastating in India as 60 percent of the land is rain-fed. Over just the past decade, India has had three drought years: 2002, 2004 and 2009. While the country harvests grains twice a year and the production is evenly divided, its monsoon season generally runs May-September with enough soil moisture and water left in res...