Wheat prices have softened quite a bit in the past five weeks as imports have been good. While there has been no official announcement yet, it is being speculated that the government of India (GOI) might impose a 25 percent tariff on wheat imports as of 1 April for two reasons. Wheat Prices Soften; Deliveries Start in Central and West India Wheat prices have softened quite a bit in the past five weeks as imports have been good, possibly totaling 5 MMT by the end of March. Another reason is the ag ministry’s forecast of a bumper crop of 96.64 MMT in 2016/17 against the 2015/16 estimate of 92.29 MMT. The average trade estimate for last year’s wheat production was 87 MMT. February 2017 was the hottest month since 2007, and this could affect...
What You Need to Know Today: Commodities were mostly lower across the board today after yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting hinted at a potential interest rate hike later in 2026. The dollar index reached its highest level in over a year, and a strong dollar makes U.S. agricultural expor...
Key Market Insights Geopolitical Limbo: Geopolitical risk remained a key driver across global commodity markets today. President Trump stated that the Iran memorandum of understanding is not yet final and warned that military action could resume if negotiations fail. Both sides continue w...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.