World Perspectives
feed-grains biofuel

India’s Ethanol Conundrum and Impact on Global Markets

India is attempting to pursue its climate goals through the expansion of biofuel blending into transportation fuels, but the dynamics of the country’s agricultural systems and protectionist trade policies may stymie these efforts. The USDA recently issued an outlook that calls for India to switch from a net corn exporter of about 3 MMT annually to a net corn importer for 2024, with imports of 1.1 MMT. The projection caught many by surprise and created questions about the long-term outlook for the country’s biofuel and ethanol markets, as well as import trends for ethanol and corn. WPI’s analysis finds that India’s aggressive biofuel policy coupled with a ban on fuel ethanol imports will necessitate a significant expa...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: General Equilibrium with Weather and War

Outside markets continued their reversal higher following the rescission of President Trump’s tariff threats against Europe. Ukraine’s grain exports are stymied by Russian attacks, with both sides seemingly inching forward on talks, but a survey of former diplomats shows 80 percent...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

2026 Outlook: Market Home Runs Unlikely, Use Risk Management to Stay at Bat This Year

With the spring planting effort just around the corner, producers and traders are starting to get a handle on the outlook for the coming marketing year. That outlook suffered a bit of a shock following the January WASDE report, as USDA reiterated the large-supply narrative for U.S. and world gr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.24/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.155/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.64/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $296.2/short ton, up $4.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: General Equilibrium with Weather and War

Outside markets continued their reversal higher following the rescission of President Trump’s tariff threats against Europe. Ukraine’s grain exports are stymied by Russian attacks, with both sides seemingly inching forward on talks, but a survey of former diplomats shows 80 percent...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

2026 Outlook: Market Home Runs Unlikely, Use Risk Management to Stay at Bat This Year

With the spring planting effort just around the corner, producers and traders are starting to get a handle on the outlook for the coming marketing year. That outlook suffered a bit of a shock following the January WASDE report, as USDA reiterated the large-supply narrative for U.S. and world gr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.24/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.155/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.64/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $296.2/short ton, up $4.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Divergent Day Highlights Divergent Outlook

The CBOT started Wednesday’s overnight trade on a high note with traders returning from the prior day’s risk-off selling and finding support from export-led grain demand. Shortly after the day session began, however, hopes of higher trade for grains quickly evaporated as funds and s...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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