India is attempting to pursue its climate goals through the expansion of biofuel blending into transportation fuels, but the dynamics of the country’s agricultural systems and protectionist trade policies may stymie these efforts. The USDA recently issued an outlook that calls for India to switch from a net corn exporter of about 3 MMT annually to a net corn importer for 2024, with imports of 1.1 MMT. The projection caught many by surprise and created questions about the long-term outlook for the country’s biofuel and ethanol markets, as well as import trends for ethanol and corn. WPI’s analysis finds that India’s aggressive biofuel policy coupled with a ban on fuel ethanol imports will necessitate a significant expa...