Yesterday the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a 0.2 percent growth in June, the smallest monthly increase since August 2021. There are a few ways to look at the numbers, however. On the one hand, the 3 percent annual inflation is a big drop from the 9.1 percent annual inflation last June (the highest since November 1981). On the other hand, the “core CPI” which the Fed looks at – which excludes volatile food and energy costs – is up 4.8 percent year over year, enough to keep the Fed hawkish in trying to reach its 2 percent inflation goal.  Indeed, food and energy – especially energy – have been volatile over the past year. Energy inflation was d...